Hryhorii Perepelytsia
Doctor of Political Science, Full Professor at the Department of International Relations and Foreign Policy of the Educational and Scientific Institute of International Relations, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Director of the Foreign Policy Research Institute
DOI:
Abstract. The article addresses the key strategic task of Ukrainian diplomacy: ensuring the survival of Ukraine as a sovereign state in the context of the russian-Ukrainian war. Lacking sufficient power capacity, Ukrainian diplomacy relies on international support from the democratic world and on receiving the necessary security guarantees.
The article addresses the question of whether Ukrainian diplomacy is capable of preserving Ukraine’s independence and state sovereignty. In his analysis of this issue, the author focuses on the reasons why President Zelenskyy’s Peace Formula has not been fully implemented. Its provisions have not been endorsed due to a lack of confidence in Ukraine’s victory as the primary guarantee of a just peace. For this reason, only the issues of nuclear security, food security, and the exchange of prisoners on an ‘all for all’ basis were brought to the Peace Summit in Geneva.
The author emphasises that Ukrainian diplomacy is compelled to follow putin’s paradigm of perpetuating the war. The Istanbul meetings were limited to purely military matters, such as the exchange of prisoners of war and the repatriation of the bodies of the fallen, rather than addressing matters of reaching a ceasefire or ending the war, which is used by the kremlin as a pretext for continuing the war.
It is also underlined that even Trump seems to have reconciled himself to the formula ‘diplomacy is the continuation of war’, as his earlier rhetoric calling for an unconditional ceasefire has been pushed into the sidelines, giving way instead to an inclination towards prolonging russian aggression.
Keywords: war, peace, victory, Ukrainian diplomacy, world order, balance of power, USA, Europe, defence.
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